Deaths of despair in Australia - Grattan Institute

Life expectancy in the United States has fallen in recent years, a distressing development for a developed country not in the grip of a major war or pandemic. The fall in American life expectancy has been largely driven by a rise in drug overdoses and suicides, particularly among middle-aged people, a phenomenon dubbed ‘deaths of despair’ by the economists Anne Case and Angus Deaton.

Here in Australia, life expectancy has continued to rise, albeit slowly. But that doesn’t mean we’re free of the ‘deaths of despair’ trauma gripping the US. 1 The Australian Institute of Health and Welfare’s appropriately-named GRIM dataset – the General Record of Incidence of Mortality – shows some worrying trends, particularly among men.

In 1997, 3.5 out of every 100,000 men in their 40s died from what the Institute calls accidental poisonings, a category that includes drug overdoses. By 2017, that figure was up to 18 men per 100,000. Accidental poisonings have also risen substantially among Australian men in their 30s and 50s, with smaller rises for women in the same age groups. Contrary to common perceptions, deaths from accidental poisoning are more common among Australians in their 30s and 40s than in their 20s, and poisonings among 20-somethings haven’t followed the same upward trend in recent years.

The number of Australians dying by suicide has also shown a worrying rise in recent years. The rate at which men and women in their 40s and 50s commit suicide is higher now than it has been in decades. And the suicide rate among younger men has also risen in the past five years, after declining substantially through the 2000s.

It is not entirely clear why ‘deaths of despair’ have risen so sharply in the US and to a lesser extent Australia and the UK. In the US, Case and Deaton (the latter a Nobel Prize-winning economist) have linked the trend to ‘the steady deterioration in job opportunities for people with low education’, and a rise in loneliness and social disconnection, combined with the widespread availability of opioids. It remains an area for active research.

The ‘deaths of despair’ trauma is not as acute in Australia as in the US, but we have no cause for complacency.

If you or someone you know needs help, please call Lifeline on 13 11 14 or visit Alternatively, call the Suicide Call Back Service on 1300 659 467 or visit

1. The ‘deaths of despair’ examined by Case and Deaton include deaths by suicide and accidental poisonings, and also deaths due to alcohol-related liver disease and cirrhosis. These are not included in our analysis, because the publicly-available data in Australia do not enable us to separate deaths due to alcohol-related liver conditions from deaths due to liver conditions that are not alcohol-related.